SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #7 FOR: TROPICAL STORM "#FalconPH" (DANAS) TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING ISSUED AT 8:00 PM, 16 July 2019 (Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today)
"FALCON" HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS NORTHERN LUZON.
• Between today and tomorrow evening, moderate to heavy rains will be experienced over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Zambales, Occidental Mindoro, northern Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, and Guimaras. Meanwhile, light to moderate with at times heavy rains will be experienced over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, and the rest of Visayas, Central Luzon, and MIMAROPA. • Between tomorrow evening and Thursday (July 18) evening, moderate to heavy rains may prevail over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, and Cagayan Valley. Meanwhile, light to moderate with at times heavy rains may prevail over the Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA. • Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas identified to be at risk of flooding and landslides, are advised to take precautionary measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions. • Sea travel is risky over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon, the seaboard of Southern Luzon, and the eastern and western seaboards of Visayas. • This weather disturbance is expected to closely approach or make landfall over Babuyan-Batanes area tomorrow afternoon or evening and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Friday (19 July) morning.
Location of eye/center At 7:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "FALCON" was estimated based on all available data at 250 km East Southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.0 °N, 124.0 °E ) Strength Maximum sustained winds of up to 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. Movement Moving West at 30 km/h.
Forecast Positions • 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 80 km East Northeast of Calayan, Cagayan(19.4°N, 122.2°E) • 48 Hour (Thursday afternoon): 210 km North Northwest of Basco, Batanes(22.2°N, 121.2°E) • 72 Hour (Friday afternoon): 730 km North of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)(27.0°N, 121.6°E) • 96 Hour (Saturday afternoon): 1,040 km North of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)(29.8°N, 122.0°E)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL TCWS 2 (61-120 km/h Expected in 24 hours) Batanes and northeastern portion of Cagayan including Babuyan Group of Islands
TCWS 1 (30-60 km/h Expected in 36 hours) Rest of Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Apayao, Kalinga, Isabela, Mountain Province, Ifugao, northern portion of Aurora, northern portion of Nueva Vizcaya, and northern portion of Quirino,
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.